Alec Burleson

LHB

STL · 54 appearances tracked

HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.

13.0%

HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.

13.4%

Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.

91.6

Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.

0.169

ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.

#29

Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.

HR Cadence ?Tracks how often this batter typically hits HRs and whether they're overdue. Based on the median gap (in games) between each HR this season. Display only — does not affect model score. Typically goes yard every 8 games · 7 HRs in 54 games

0× Due (1×) 2×

1.4×

Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.

Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.

Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.

Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.

Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.

Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.

HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.

Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.

#114.1

Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.

Rank Trend ?Daily model rank over time. The Y-axis is inverted — lower on the chart = better rank. Green dots mark days this batter hit a home run.

lower rank = better · green dots = HR days

All Appearances ?Complete log of every time this batter appeared on the scored slate. Includes model rank, tier, form trend, and whether they went yard. Rows highlighted in green = HR days.

54 total · newest first

Date	Rank	Pitcher	B/P	HR/FB	Tier	Form	BP	HR?
2026-05-30	#146	Ben Brown	L/R *	8.5%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-29	#121	Shota Imanaga	L/L *	10.3%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-27	#116	Chad Patrick	L/R *	9.2%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-26	#144	Kyle Harrison	L/L *	8.4%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-25	#148	Jacob Misiorowski	L/R *	10.7%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-24	#42	Brady Singer	L/R *	16.7%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-23	#76	Chris Paddack	L/R *	12.5%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-23	#67	Chase Petty	L/R *	9.4%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-22	#52	Chris Paddack	L/R *	13.8%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-21	#44	Braxton Ashcraft	L/R *	12.4%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-20	#115	Carmen Mlodzinski	L/R *	10.2%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	—	·
2026-05-19	#119	Mitch Keller	L/R *	9.5%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	💥
2026-05-17	#106	Stephen Kolek	L/R *	10.1%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-16	#93	Noah Cameron	L/L *	12.3%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-05-15	#91	Michael Wacha	L/R *	12.0%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	🔥	·
2026-05-13	#32	J.T. Ginn	L/R *	27.2%	🔵 C+	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-05-12	#35	Jeffrey Springs	L/L *	17.6%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	⚠️	·
2026-05-10	#176	Walker Buehler	L/R *	16.5%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-05-09	#171	Randy Vásquez	L/R *	14.9%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-05-08	#100	Griffin Canning	L/R *	20.5%	🔵 C+	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-05-07	#133	Michael King	L/R *	10.1%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	⚠️	💥
2026-05-06	#171	Brandon Sproat	L/R *	14.3%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-05	#103	Brandon Sproat	L/R *	11.8%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-04	#120	Chad Patrick	L/R *	11.2%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-03	#87	Justin Wrobleski	L/L *	7.4%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-02	#75	Roki Sasaki	L/R *	21.0%	🔵 C+	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-05-01	#117	Emmet Sheehan	L/R *	13.4%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	💥
2026-04-30	#142	Paul Skenes	L/R *	7.9%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	·
2026-04-29	#225	Bubba Chandler	L/R *	8.8%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	🔥	💥
2026-04-27	#81	Mason Montgomery	L/L *	6.4%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	🔥	·
2026-04-26	#130	Emerson Hancock	L/R *	10.7%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-25	#159	Bryan Woo	L/R	6.7%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-24	#126	George Kirby	L/R	10.9%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-21	#73	Chris Paddack	L/R	10.1%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	✅	·
2026-04-20	#67	Max Meyer	L/R	10.0%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-19	#29	Mike Burrows	L/R	14.0%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	—	·
2026-04-18	#73	Lance McCullers Jr.	L/R	8.6%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	—	💥
2026-04-17	#71	Peter Lambert	L/R	8.9%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	—	·
2026-04-15	#68	Slade Cecconi	L/R	7.3%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	—	·
2026-04-13	#40	Gavin Williams	L/R	8.0%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	—	·
2026-04-12	#150	Brayan Bello	L/R	0.8%	⚪ D	📉 COOL	—	💥
2026-04-11	#173	Ranger Suarez	L/L	6.6%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-10	#244	Connelly Early	L/L	0.9%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	✅	·
2026-04-08	#135	Miles Mikolas	L/R	8.3%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-04-07	#118	Cade Cavalli	L/R	9.7%	⚪ D	➖ NTRL	⚠️	·
2026-04-06	#108	Zack Littell	L/R	9.0%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	⚠️	·
2026-04-05	#114	Keider Montero	L/	11.5%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	✅	·
2026-04-04	#123	Jack Flaherty	L/R	10.7%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	✅	·
2026-04-01	#181	Freddy Peralta	L/R	9.6%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	✅	·
2026-03-31	#168	Kodai Senga	L/R	9.5%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	✅	·
2026-03-30	#171	Clay Holmes	L/R	9.6%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	✅	·
2026-03-29	#146	Steven Matz	L/L	9.4%	⚪ D	📈 WARM	⚠️	·
2026-03-28	#169	Joe Boyle	·	9.6%	⚪ D	🔥 HOT	—	·
2026-03-26	#79	Drew Rasmussen	·	11.5%	⚪ D	🔥 HOT	—	💥

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